India's economy contracted 7.3 percent in 2020-21, official data showed Monday, its worst recession since independence as coronavirus lockdowns put millions out of work.
Asia's third-largest economy grew by 1.6% between January and March -- the fourth quarter of its fiscal year -- after exiting its first "technical recession" since 1947 following two successive quarters of contraction.
About 230 million Indians fell into poverty due to the pandemic last year, according to a study by Bangalore's Azim Premji University, which defined the poor as those living on less than 375 rupees ($5) a day.
An easing of restrictions towards the end of 2020 helped propel a tentative recovery in activity but this may prove short-lived following an explosion in Covid-19 cases in April and May.
The vicious second wave, which has killed 160,000 people in eight weeks, prompted further lockdowns and saw 7.3 million people lose their jobs in April alone, according to the Centre for Monitoring the Indian Economy.
That means more pain in a country where 90% of the workforce is in the informal sector with no social safety net, and where millions do not qualify for emergency government rations.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government has so far refrained from announcing any fresh major stimulus measures in response.
The Central Statistics Office (CSO), which releases the data, projected 8% GDP contraction in FY21, implying a contraction of 1.1% in March quarter.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) projected a 7.5% contraction for FY21.
RBI, which has kept its monetary policy loose while boosting liquidity to the economy, said on Thursday that growth prospects will depend on how fast India can arrest infections.
Union finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman, who has limited room amid a fall in tax collections and rising public debt, said on Friday that no decision has been taken for another stimulus package.
