A large share of voters traditionally aligned with the Awami League remain undecided ahead of the upcoming national election, while a significant portion appear inclined toward the BNP-led opposition alliance, according to a recent survey by research organization Innovision.
The panel survey found that 41.3% of Awami League–leaning voters have yet to make a final decision, while 32.9% said they intend to vote for the BNP and its allied parties, indicating a possible shift within the party’s traditional support base.
The survey showed that 13.2% of respondents in this voter group favor Jamaat, the National Citizen Party (NCP), and allied parties. Support for the Jatiya Party stands at 0.6%, while 1.1% said they would vote for independent candidates. Another 11.1% declined to disclose their voting preference.
Innovision said the findings are part of its ongoing nationwide social research initiative. The countrywide panel survey was conducted through telephone interviews between January 16 and January 27, 2026, with a total sample size of 5,147 respondents.
Political analysts say the high proportion of undecided voters within the Awami League’s traditional support base, combined with the sizable share expressing support for opposition alliances, may reflect voter dissatisfaction, political fatigue, or growing openness to alternative political forces.
Analysts also note that undecided voters could play a decisive role in shaping the election outcome as campaigning intensifies ahead of polling day.
The Awami League is barred from participating in the February 12 national election following the political upheaval and change in power after the August 5, 2024 mass uprising in Bangladesh.
