Supporters of Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami and the National Citizens Party (NCP) show the strongest backing for a potential national referendum, according to a new survey released by research firm Innovision.
Findings from Innovision’s Round 2 survey indicate that 71.3% of Jamaat supporters would vote “Yes” in a referendum, while 5.0% would vote “No” and 17.4% said they were unaware of the issue.
Among NCP supporters, 70.2% expressed support for a “Yes” vote, with 6.4% opposed.
Support for the referendum is comparatively lower among Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) supporters, 55.2% of whom said they would vote “Yes.” About 10.7% indicated they would vote “No,” while 23.1% said they were unaware of the referendum.
Awami League supporters showed the weakest backing, with 45.8% favoring a “Yes” vote. A sizable 25.7% said they were unaware of the referendum, while 17.3% remained undecided.
Innovision conducted the nationwide panel survey between January 16 and January 27, 2026, collecting responses via phone interviews from 5,147 participants. The study aims to gauge voter sentiment based on party affiliation.
The data suggests Jamaat and NCP supporters are more unified in their stance on the referendum, while higher levels of uncertainty among Awami League and BNP supporters could shape future political mobilization.
