A study at a university in Singapore has indicated that cases of coronavirus infection may fall by 99 percent in Bangladesh by the end of May.
The Data-Driven Innovation Lab of Singapore University of Technology and Design (SUTD) released data based on their findingson 131 countries, estimating Covid-19 pandemic life cycles, on their website on Sunday.
The data on Bangladesh suggest that new daily cases of Covid-19 infection will fall by 99 percent by the end of May, and will disappear altogether by the middle of July.
The researchers at the university used the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, which describes the spread of infectious diseases, to conduct the study. They fed various data, collected from different countries, into the model to produce their estimation data.
The website, however, included a disclaimer, saying: "Content from this website is STRICTLY ONLY for educational and research purposes and may contain errors. The model and data are inaccurate to the complex, evolving, and heterogeneous realities of different countries. Predictions are uncertain by nature. Readers must take any predictions with caution. Overly optimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it may loosen our disciplines and controls and cause the turnaround of the virus and infection, and must be avoided."
Coronavirus has so far infected 5,416 people and killed 145 people in Bangladesh.
Globally, the virus has infected 2,995,152 people and killed 207,008 people thus far.