The Republican Party’s tension over its relationship with black and Hispanic voters was under way long before Pope Francis decided to comment on Donald Trump.
On one side, Florida Senator Marco Rubio and others insist the party must attract more minorities to win the presidency. On the other, leading rivals Trump and Texas Senator Ted Cruz embrace fiery rhetoric designed to motivate angry white conservatives.
Complicating it all is immigration, the issue the party’s pragmatic professionals can’t square with the passions of the most faithful Republican voters.
Pope Francis on Thursday put a spotlight on the debate when, asked about Trump’s call to build a massive wall on the US-Mexican border, he said those who seek to build walls instead of bridges are “not Christian.”
The clash could determine much more than South Carolina’s Republican primary election on Saturday, but also whether the party’s nominee succeeds in November’s general election.
But Trump isn’t alone among the Republican candidates in his calls to build a border wall to stem illegal immigration. Cruz supports the idea, too, and Rubio has repeatedly said that no progress can be made on immigration until Washington can prove to Americans that illegal immigration is under control.
That border-security-first approach is at odds with the recommendations of the Republican National Committee, which determined after an exhaustive post-2012 study the party must adopt “comprehensive immigration reform” to help expand its appeal beyond older, white men.
It may not matter in South Carolina’s primary, a contest that will be dominated by white voters. In 2012, the state’s Republican primary electorate was 98% white.
It’s a different story for the November general election, when minority voters are expected to make up more than 30% of the eligible voting-age population, and more than 50% of the voter pool by 2052.
A new Associated Press-GfK poll found that Rubio and Cruz are slightly more popular than Trump among Hispanics, although none is well-liked. All have especially low ratings among blacks. 15% of blacks and 31% of Hispanics have a favourable view of Rubio, the new poll found. Cruz earns positive marks from 11% of black voters and 29% of Hispanics, while Trump finishes at the bottom with favorable ratings from just 8% of blacks and 16% of Hispanics.
Cruz, whose father is also a Cuban immigrant, hopes to win the White House by energizing evangelical and working-class white voters. Republican National Committee member Henry Barbour, who helped author the post-2012 study, praised the minority outreach efforts of candidates like Rubio and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush.
“But it’s troubling to me for the future of our party that we have candidates like Donald Trump and Ted Cruz who think that it’s still 1972,” Barbour said.