Britain has no overall strategy for leaving the European Union and splits in Prime Minister Theresa May's cabinet could delay a clear negotiating position for six months, according to a memo for the government that was leaked to The Times newspaper.
The document, prepared by a consultant for the government department that supports the prime minister and her cabinet, casts Britain's top team in a chaotic light- May is trying to control key Brexit questions herself while her senior ministers are divided and the civil service is in turmoil.
"The Prime Minister is rapidly acquiring the reputation of drawing in decisions and details to settle matters herself - which is unlikely to be sustainable," according to the document, dated November 7 and published by The Times.
"It may be 6 months before there is a view on priorities/negotiation strategy as the political situation in the UK and the EU evolves," said the document, titled "Brexit Update".
A spokesman for Downing Street said it did not recognise the assertions made in the document but did not explicitly deny the authenticity of the document. The prime minister is focused on making a success of Brexit, the spokesman said.
But such a disorderly portrayal of the government underscores both the extent of the turmoil unleashed by the June 23 vote to leave the EU and the uncertainties ahead as May tries to pull Britain out of the world's biggest trading bloc.
Like the Brexit vote, Donald Trump's victory in the United States has underscored how swiftly assumptions are being turned upside down, pushing governments, investors and chief executives into the unknown.
The pound fell as much as 1.3 percent to 87.07 pence per euro following the memo leak before recovering to 86.92 pence. It also lost more than half a percent to $1.2417.[caption id="attachment_33122" align="aligncenter" width="800"] This is the text of the memo, as reported by The Times.[/caption]
The memo said no common strategy had emerged, partly as a result of splits within the government and partly due to the evolving political situation in the rest of the EU where both France and Germany face major elections in 2017.
May's cabinet is split, with Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson, Trade Minister Liam Fox and Brexit Minister David Davis - who all campaigned to leave the EU - on one side and finance minister Philip Hammond and Business Secretary Greg Clark - who wanted to remain - on the other, according to the memo.
May's priority, it said, is survival and keeping her ruling Conservative Party together, rather than business or economic considerations.
"Industry has 2 unpleasant realisations - first, that the Government's priority remains its political survival, not the economy," the memo said. "Second, that there will be no clear economic-Brexit strategy any time soon because it is being developed on a case-by-case basis as specific decisions are forced on Government." The document also said that "major players" in industry were likely to "point a gun at government's head" to secure assurances similar to that given to carmaker Nissan that it would not suffer from Brexit. "The public stance of Government is orientated primarily to its own supporters, with industry in particular barely being on the radar screen - yet," it said. Government departments were working on more than 500 Brexit-related projects and might require an additional 30,000 civil servants, it said. If the Supreme Court forces the government to give lawmakers a say on triggering the formal talks to leave the bloc, some ministers might be happy to see more radical Brexit options watered down, the memo said. May has promised to trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, which kicks off two years of talks with Brussels, by the end of March but she has so far given little away about her plans for Britain's future relationship with the bloc.
Govt source says memo was unsolicited pitch for work by consulting co & as far as they can tell right now only seen by 1 person in govt— Ross Hawkins (@rosschawkins) November 15, 2016
Not sure leaking your pitch is a great way to get work from govt ... but Times' memo description of govt on Brexit rings true in many ways — Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) November 15, 2016
Meanwhile, shadow chancellor John McDonnell is due to say that the government's "shambolic" approach to Brexit is failing to equip the UK economy for leaving the EU. In a speech later, he will say the chancellor is isolated from cabinet colleagues and "too weak" to make Brexit a success.
However, he will also say Labour will not attempt to block or delay the triggering of Article 50 in Parliament. "To do so would put Labour against the majority will of the British people and on the side of certain corporate elites, who have always had the British people at the back of the queue," he will say.
The government is appealing against a High Court ruling that Parliament should have a say before the UK invokes Article 50. The government's appeal is due to be heard at the Supreme Court from 5 December.
Brexit memo was seen and aided by senior civil servants. @Number10gov should stop shooting the messenger and start addressing the challenges— Deborah Haynes (@haynesdeborah) November 15, 2016
The government says it does not recognise a leaked memo's claim that it has no overall plan for Brexit. A spokesman said the "unsolicited document" came from an external accountancy firm and had "no authority".
Obtained by The Times, it warns Whitehall is working on 500 Brexit-related projects and could need 30,000 extra staff. And it highlights "divisions within the cabinet" over Brexit strategy.