Number of deaths may continue to rise for two weeks from now, say experts
The end of June and beginning of July have been the worst two weeks of the coronavirus pandemic in the country with more than 2,000 deaths and over 127,000 infections reported.
Amid the catastrophic surge in infections, Bangladesh on Friday crossed the grim milestones of 1 million cases and 16,000 deaths.
Between June 25 and July 9, a total 127,608 cases were logged while 2,028 fatalities were reported. This amounts to 12.75% of the caseload and 12.67% of the total fatalities since the pandemic began.
In the first nine days of July alone, 87,285 people have been infected. The seven-day moving average of positive cases in the first week of July was 9,188, the highest ever recorded in the country.
Staggering rise in infections
A breakdown of Bangladesh’s caseload clearly illustrates the staggering increase in infection rate since the beginning of the pandemic.
After the first three cases were recorded in early March last year, the total number of confirmed infections in the country crossed 100,000 about three months later on June 18, 2020. However, the country only needed one more month to cross 200,000 on July 18 the same year.
The number of Covid-19 cases continued to rise by about 100,000 a month until it hit 400,000 on October 27 last year. Subsequently, the infections slowed a little as the 500,000 threshold was crossed on December 20 last year and 600,000 on March 29 this year.
Just two weeks after crossing 600,000 cases, Bangladesh crossed 700,000 cases on April 14. Bangladesh then crossed 800,000 cases on May 31, and 900,000 cases on June 29.
Just 10 days later, Bangladesh crossed the 1 million case threshold.
Deaths continue to break records
Bangladesh yet again recorded its highest daily death toll as 212 fatalities were logged on Friday, surpassing the previous peak of 201, only two days ago.
With the latest development, the total number of deaths reached 16,004 while the number of total infections rose to 1,000,543 in the country.
The country saw the death toll to rise by 1,000 in only five days. It was on Sunday when the country crossed 15,000 fatalities.
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Senjuti Saha, scientist of the Child Health Research Foundation in Bangladesh, told Dhaka Tribune the number of deaths would likely continue to rise in July.
“The number of deaths might continue to rise for two weeks from now, since too many people have been infected in the past few days. We will see the effect in two weeks,” she said.
She added that 90% of the infections were being caused by the Delta variant.
“We fear that this variant may mutate and turn into another fast-spreading strain. It is infecting too many people too quickly, and therefore the chance of mutation is increasing,” she said.