Centrist Emmanuel Macron held on to his lead as favourite to win France's presidential election, a closely-watched poll showed on Wednesday, although it showed that the first round of voting at the weekend remains too close to call.
Four candidates are still in contention to make it to a second round two weeks after Sunday's ballot. The first round could bring last minute surprises given that the predicted abstention rate and the degree of indecision are high.
France's tumultuous election campaign, marked by surprising outcomes in the two main party primaries, the relegation of early frontrunners for the presidency, and the rise of Macron's independent political movement, has become increasingly tense as the gap between candidates shrinks.
The stakes for investors are high, with two anti-EU, anti-euro candidates among the four.
Macron and far-right leader Marine Le Pen have lost steam in the run-up to Sunday's vote, but are still expected to qualify for the May 7 run-off, with the centrist winning that second round, according to a Cevipof poll of 11,601 people for Le Monde newspaper. The poll is one of the most comprehensive surveys among a mass of competing ones released on a daily basis.
Le Pen, who has been pressing home her core message on stopping immigration in the past week, dropped by 2.5% points to 22.5% of voting intentions compared with early April, and Macron fell 2% points to 23% in the first round, Cevipof said.
Far-left firebrand Jean-Luc Melenchon, who has surged in recent weeks, was on 19%, the poll showed, while conservative leader Francois Fillon, recovering from a nepotism scandal, was on 19.5%.
Abstention, a key factor adding to uncertainty over the outcome of the first round, was seen coming at 28%, Cevipof said.
All of the Cevipof findings were broadly in line with recent polling trends that show the race very tight.
The abstention rate was in line with a record level in the 2002 election, where the then National Front leader, Le Pen's father Jean-Marie Le Pen, made it to the run-off before he was beaten by conservative Jacques Chirac.
Security concerns have come to the fore after two men were arrested in Marseille on Tuesday, suspected of planning an imminent attack aimed at the presidential campaign.