The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has released new analysis that shows that air travel will not recover from the damage done by the coronavirus pandemic until 2023.
The analysis also shows that long flights will be the most severely impacted, reports Lonely Planet.
The recovery is expected to be led by domestic flights.
The organization estimates that passenger traffic will not rebound to pre-crisis levels until 2023 at the earliest. It expects global passenger demand to be 24% below 2019 levels and 32% lower than the forecast it made in October 2019.
IATA also expressed concerns on quarantine measures on arrival, with 69% of recent travellers that it surveyed stating that they would not consider travelling if it involved a 14-day quarantine period. Therefore, it urged governments to find alternate measures as part of post-pandemic travel restrictions.
IATA’s Director General and CEO, Alexandre de Juniac said that individual and corporate travellers are likely to carefully manage their travel spend and stay closer to home.
"To protect aviation’s ability to be a catalyst for the economic recovery, we must not make that prognosis worse by making travel impracticable with quarantine measures," he said. "We need a solution for safe travel that addresses two challenges. It must give passengers confidence to travel safely and without undue hassle, and it must give governments confidence that they are protected from importing the virus."