Between hysteria and denial: Rethinking national security in Bangladesh

When people think about Bangladesh’s national security, they often picture the loud stuff: Checkpoints, raids, and the kind of breaking news that arrives after something has already gone wrong.

But there’s another side that stays mostly invisible until it suddenly isn’t: A Facebook page quietly normalizing a militant worldview, a “training” video passed around in private groups, a small self-defense circle meeting somewhere in a neighbourhood or a distant village.

Each piece, on its own, looks easy to ignore. Together, they form a pattern.

Look at how quickly the quiet becomes concrete. A blast in Shariatpur killed a 20-year-old on January 8, 2026. It had left two others critically injured.

On December 28, 2025, we saw another explosion at a madrasa in South Keraniganj. Police recovered bomb-like objects and a large volume of chemicals.

In both cases, law enforcement agencies suspect that these people were trying to make bombs. In one case, a suspect had prior extremist links.

Lately, if you scroll through reels or short videos, you may have noticed a pattern. Clips of so-called “Islamic State training,” Al-Qaeda style footage, or battlefield montages appear in your feed, often with Bangla subtitles and dramatic background music.

Many of the accounts that post them are new, opened in the last year or so, and they follow each other closely, forming a small ecosystem.

Alongside this, there are pages advertising martial arts or “fitness training for young Muslims,” where the language in the caption or the comments moves beyond health and discipline and starts hinting at a more ideological goal: Prepare yourself for a different kind of struggle.

If you look at any one of these in isolation, you can easily shrug. Someone is farming clicks. Someone else is trying to monetize religious sentiment. Some young men want to learn karate. Fair enough.

But once you start connecting the dots, a different picture appears.

You can see a cluster of accounts feeding off the same imagery, recycling the same slogans, and slowly normalizing the idea that physical training plus a certain kind of religious rhetoric equals a higher, almost militant, purpose.

That is the point where the question of national security enters.

Bangladesh has already paid a heavy price for underestimating these patterns. We do not need to guess what can happen when fringe ideas are left to grow without monitoring. 

In August 2005, Jama’atul Mujahideen Bangladesh (JMB) carried out near-simultaneous bomb blasts in 63 districts in a single day. It was a coordinated message: “We are everywhere.”

For years before that, there had been smaller incidents, pamphlets, and whispers about rising militancy. Many dismissed them as isolated or exaggerated. The bombs proved otherwise.

A decade later, in July 2016, the Holey Artisan attack in Dhaka’s diplomatic zone shocked the country again. Whatever people think about how the incident was later used politically by the then government, the core fact cannot be wished away: Armed young men stormed a café, killed Bangladeshi and foreign citizens, and pledged loyalty to a transnational jihadist project.

Families lost their children. A sense of safety in the capital was badly shaken. Pretending this was just “theatre” or “drama” is not only disrespectful to victims, it also weakens our ability to see similar risks when they reappear in new forms.

Since then, law enforcement and intelligence agencies have kept many militant outfits under pressure. There is no question that some plots have been disrupted and some networks dismantled.

At the same time, there is also a widely shared perception that counter-terror laws and special units were sometimes turned inward with political motives. Sometimes they have been used against political opponents rather than genuine extremist threats. Reports by local and international bodies have documented how tools built to fight terrorism were used to manage elections, protests, or party rivalries.

So we ended up in a strange situation: Some citizens began to believe that “terrorism” itself is a political fiction, a tool to attack opposition, rather than a real danger.

This belief is risky in its own way. When people start to think that every mention of extremism is just a trick, they ignore real warning signs.

So, if you bring up concerns about Islamic State videos in Bangla, unexplained explosions in religious places, or secret training camps disguised as gyms, people may dismiss you as repeating an old story. They say: “We have heard this before. It’s just another excuse to control us.”

This is where we need a more balanced and honest conversation.

On one side, there are mainstream political parties like Awami League, BNP, Jamaat, NCP, and other leftist and centrist groups. Even though they often criticize each other, they mostly work within the rules of elections and the constitution.

They compete for power through alliances, campaigns, and sometimes strikes or blockades, and occasionally through confrontation. But at their core, they agree that government should be decided through politics.

On the other side, there are smaller networks that do not fully accept the framework of the Bangladesh Republic. For them, the dream is not a more democratic or more accountable Bangladesh, but a fundamentally different kind of state based on a particular interpretation of Islam.

Their language rejects compromise and coexistence, the core idea of their religion. Their heroes are not parliamentarians or community organizers, but fighters in distant wars on the Afghan-Pakistan border. They are patient, they invest in teaching, preaching, training, and slow recruitment, and they have learned to use online platforms very well. These actors do not need a large visible presence to create damage; even a handful of committed individuals can change the security calculus.

The challenge for the state is to respond without repeating past mistakes. If the state apparatus considers every critical voice, every religious activist, every student group as a potential terrorist and a threat to national security, we will end up exactly where we were before.

It will lead to the abuse of laws and damage trust in institutions. The public will refuse to believe any warning, even when it is genuine.

On the other hand, if the state swings to the opposite extreme and assumes that all talk of extremism is just “fear-mongering by the old regime,” we will keep walking with our eyes closed while new networks quietly organize.

A more constructive approach

First, it means taking online ecosystems seriously without panicking about every post.

The government has the capacity to map clusters of pages and accounts that systematically push violent jihadist content in Bangla for a wider audience. Most of these pages are new, anonymous, and mutually linked.

That kind of analysis is different from blanket surveillance of everyone. It is closer to good policing: Identify patterns, look at behaviour over time, and focus only on those who are clearly endorsing or glorifying organized violence.

Second, it means treating educational and religious institutions as partners, not suspects.

When an explosion happens in a madrasa compound, the question should not end with a short news item. Citizens deserve clear answers regarding such events: Who brought explosives there, why they were stored, and which networks were involved. Transparency is a must in such cases.

At the same time, most madrasas and mosques are not part of any violent plot. They are often the victims of fringe groups who use these platforms as their hiding place.

Madrasas and universities are spaces where millions of families send their children in good faith. Bringing their teachers and administrators into a transparent conversation about safety is far more effective than demonizing them from a distance.

Third, it requires a clean separation between counter-terror work and partisan politics.

If the same unit that investigates bomb-making also raids opposition offices on election eve, citizens' confidence will never recover. They will not trust these specialized groups that are created to fight terrorism.

A democratic state has every right to defend itself against groups that reject peaceful politics, but it has to do so under clear legal rules, judicial oversight, and with space for media and civil society to ask questions. National security cannot become a magic word that ends all debate.

Finally, there is a social side to this issue.

Young people who get involved with extremist pages or training groups are often not villains. Many are looking for meaning, respect, and a sense of strength in a society and political system that can be disappointing.

If mainstream institutions cannot give them a real sense of purpose, others will step in. Solving this is not about propaganda; it is about creating real ways for people to take part, fair policing, and making sure everyone feels the system, though imperfect, still belongs to them.

In the end, the idea is simple. Bangladesh will be safest when all major political groups, from the secular left to the religious right, compete openly under democratic rules.

The small minority that rejects these rules should be watched closely, dealt with by law, and given chances to change when possible. This is not weakness; it is strategic patience.

So when you see another “training” reel with familiar black flags and Bangla subtitles while scrolling your social media, it is worth pausing for a second.

Maybe it is just clickbait. A responsible state and government does not jump to conclusions, but neither does it ignore the recurring pattern. Between hysteria and denial, the Bangladesh government needs to find a middle path. National security thinking should be prioritized.

Asif Bin Ali is an Atlanta based geopolitical analyst and currently working with Georgia State University, USA. Email: abinali2@gsu.edu.